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Blog Post
June 24, 2020
Using our net health impact calculator and the limited publicly available data to guide the analysis, we find that Ethiopia likely faces significant excess non-COVID-19 deaths in the coming months—possibly more than the COVID-19 deaths avoided by the government’s robust response to the pandemic.
Blog Post
June 16, 2020
Because of the uncertainties that complicate modelling, there is value in different research groups working independently to build models. Different models will employ different methods, data, and assumptions and will seek to answer different policy questions. Here we take a look from an end-user’s ...
Blog Post
June 09, 2020
Around the world COVID-19 and the policy responses to it are causing unprecedented disruptions of life and wellbeing. As scientists and governments around the world race to develop a vaccine at scale, we take a look at what a portfolio approach entails and why it is so important.
Blog Post
June 04, 2020
As we head into June, reports have continued to emerge that highlight the magnitude of the indirect effects the COVID-19 pandemic is having on health systems around the world. The pandemic has created additional barriers for patients accessing essential care, whether it be restrictions on...
Blog Post
June 02, 2020
In stressing the high numbers of additional people who are dying as an indirect result of COVID-19 measures, we may have given the impression that we believe that there would be no additional non-COVID-19 deaths in an unmitigated scenario. We don’t believe that. We aimed to illustrate how the calcul...
Blog Post
May 27, 2020
Before COVID-19, the 2014-2015 West African Ebola epidemic (EVD epidemic), was one of the most heavily modelled outbreaks in history. Within the first two months of the COVID-19 pandemic, 31 mathematical models were developed. Despite the clear differences in the two outbreaks, the EVD epidemic can ...