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WORKING PAPERS
January 23, 2023
The US limits work visas for low-skill jobs outside of agriculture, with a binding quota that firms access via a randomized lottery. We evaluate the marginal impact of the quota on firms entering the 2021 H-2B visa lottery using a novel survey and pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously authorized to e...
Jan
11
2023
2:00—3:00 PM Eastern Time | 7:00 - 8:00pm GMT
December 21, 2022
The world economy has been suffering a series of destabilizing shocks. Consensus forecasts for global growth in 2023 have been downgraded significantly over the past six months. Although these forecasts do not point to a global recession for now, the steep slowdown heightens the likelihood of a glob...
POLICY PAPERS
November 03, 2022
Few labor-based pathways for regular migration are available for people in Northern Central America. This paper summarizes the state of labor-based migration channels in the region and argues that extending those channels is a necessary complement to asylum reform. It offers five recommendations for...
CGD NOTES
November 01, 2021
After more than a year of grappling with the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, many middle-income countries (MICs) will continue to experience health and economic dislocation for some time to come. While much of the global financial community’s attention has focused on supporting low-income...
Jun
23
2021
3:00—4:00 PM Washington DC time
June 13, 2021
How has climate change impacted global migration patterns? In a new paper, Ana María Ibáñez, Andrea Velasquez, and Jimena Romero link weather shocks to rising international migration. The study examines temperature shocks in El Salvador and their impact on domestic agricultural production, the ...
Blog Post
February 09, 2021
Last week, President Biden issued a new Executive Order aiming, among other things, to “enhance access for individuals from the Northern Triangle to visa programs.” This is a big opportunity for the United States. People from this region need access to lawful migration pathways, and it is now the po...
Jan
14
2021
2:00—3:15 PM ET
January 05, 2021
Although the global economy is emerging from the collapse triggered by COVID-19, the recovery is likely to be subdued, and global output is projected to remain well below its pre-pandemic trend for a prolonged period. Several risks cloud the outlook, including those related to the pandemic and to ra...
Sep
16
2020
3:00—4:15 PM ET
September 09, 2020
COVID-19 has taken a large toll on lives and on economies in Latin America and the Caribbean and it is far from over. The deep recession and the serious income losses for families and firms may bring significant challenges for financial systems. As a result, good policies will be critical to naviga...