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Blog Post
November 08, 2023
How stable do emerging markets look now, in 2023? Which countries would be most and least resilient if another global adverse shock were to happen? A simple indicator constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables was able to identify in 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and...
Blog Post
October 05, 2023
A year ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that an alarming 60 percent of developing countries and 25 percent of emerging market economies were either in debt distress or at severe risk of default. The confluence of severe shocks in the period 2020-22, starting with the COVID-19 pan...
WORKING PAPERS
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
CGD NOTES
March 16, 2023
The the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, bank regulators and supervisors in emerging markets should be looking closely at their own banking systems with lessons from Silicon Valley in mind. For most emerging markets, where previous banking crises were devastating and turned back the clock o...
Oct
11
2022
9:30—10:45 AM Eastern Time (US & Canada)/ 2:30-3:45pm British Summer Time/ 7:30- 8:45pm Pakistan Standard Time
September 29, 2022
On top of struggling to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, Pakistan is challenged by high inflation, debt sustainability, and reliance on external financing as well as devastating floods which will have substantial and lasting economic consequences. After Sri Lanka's default crisis, will the troubl...
Sep
14
2021
2:00—3:00 PM Washington DC Time
July 28, 2021
Extreme episodes of capital flow volatility have long been a concern for policymakers in Latin America because of the threat that they pose to macroeconomic and financial stability. In the decade following the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09, capital flows seemed to move more in ripples than in wa...
Jan
14
2021
2:00—3:15 PM ET
January 05, 2021
Although the global economy is emerging from the collapse triggered by COVID-19, the recovery is likely to be subdued, and global output is projected to remain well below its pre-pandemic trend for a prolonged period. Several risks cloud the outlook, including those related to the pandemic and to ra...