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Blog Post
October 05, 2023
A year ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that an alarming 60 percent of developing countries and 25 percent of emerging market economies were either in debt distress or at severe risk of default. The confluence of severe shocks in the period 2020-22, starting with the COVID-19 pan...
WORKING PAPERS
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
CGD NOTES
March 16, 2023
The the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, bank regulators and supervisors in emerging markets should be looking closely at their own banking systems with lessons from Silicon Valley in mind. For most emerging markets, where previous banking crises were devastating and turned back the clock o...
Blog Post
December 16, 2015
The first thing we should be asking is why now in particular, since conditions have not really changed much in the past few months. For example, back in September, there were large uncertainties in the global economy. China’s economic slowdown was causing alarm. Volatility in international cap...
WORKING PAPERS
November 19, 2015
This paper investigates the shifts in Latin American banks’ funding patterns in the post-global financial crisis period. To this end, we introduce a new measure of exposure of local banking systems to international debt markets that we term: International Debt Issuances by Locally Supervised I...
Blog Post
November 17, 2015
The Latin American Shadow Regulatory Committee, known as CLAAF for its Spanish acronym, warns today in its biannual statement that despite positive policies and safeguards, the region is facing external and local risks that could affect its economic and financial outlook.
Blog Post
October 22, 2015
After Nancy Birdsall wrote from Lima last week that she’d been (happily) surprised to see microeconomic issues atop the agenda at the normally macro-heavy World Bank/IMF meetings, I now offer an alternative perspective from the meetings in the Peruvian capital: financial in...
Blog Post
March 31, 2015
“Latin America is no exception regarding the adverse changes in emerging market conditions that have occurred since the US Fed began reducing Quantitative Easing (QE) in May 2013.” That’s the assessment of the Latin American Shadow Regulatory Committee (or CLAAF) in its latest stat...