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Blog Post
June 29, 2020
Last week, the IMF revised the post-COVID growth forecasts it had made originally in the April World Economic Outlook (WEO). The April growth forecasts numbers projected a significantly more optimistic outlook for EMDEs compared with advanced economies. It turns out that the latest June forecast ma...
Blog Post
June 12, 2020
How is the pandemic likely to evolve as it spreads to poorer countries? In a new working paper, we attempt to answer one piece of that question, predicting the infection fatality rate for COVID-19 for 187 countries based on demography, comorbidities, and the strength of health systems.
Blog Post
May 08, 2020
School closures, learning loss, and drop-outs will not be the only effects of COVID-19. School systems run on money. It’s impossible to provide access to schooling without financial resources, and despite occasional claims to the contrary, the best evidence suggests that the quality of educatio...
Blog Post
April 30, 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic is taking a huge economic toll in low-income countries. The IMF has provided prompt support to help mitigate it, but it could and should do much more. The political commitment of the international community will be essential for the institution to fulfill its potential.