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Blog Post
October 30, 2023
Our new paper forecasts global structural transformation over the next thirty years. It shouldn’t come as a great surprise that it suggests the planetary shift toward services employment and out of both agriculture and manufacturing will continue. But it does suggest something many find might novel ...
Blog Post
September 20, 2021
East Asia’s miracle countries are the stuff of both economic legend and considerable debate. One part of the story may be demographics: East Asia saw rising life expectancy and declining birth rates that dramatically, if temporarily, increased the proportion of the population that was of working age...
Blog Post
August 03, 2021
If your toolbox is overflowing with precision guided munitions, the problems you will focus on are ones that (arguably) can be solved with precision guided munitions. Our comparatively tepid response to the pandemic is another sign of the longstanding and excessive prioritization of potential violen...
Blog Post
January 07, 2014
My new book The Upside of Down: Why the Rise of the Rest Is Good for the West is published today. Here’s a one-sentence summary: a wealthier, healthier, better educated, more democratic, and more peaceful developing world is fantastic news for Europe and America — so the ...