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Blog Post
January 26, 2023
With the abandonment of its Zero COVID policy, the Chinese economy is expected to rebound and contribute substantively to global economic growth in the latter part of 2023. This is projected to add to world demand for oil, more than offsetting falling demand from advanced countries whose economies a...
Blog Post
January 13, 2023
The new year has hardly begun, but fears of a looming recession persist. Pandemic-era increases in health spending are unlikely to continue in low- and middle-income countries. Growing fiscal pressures—such as high debt, increasing interest rates, and declining foreign aid and revenues—bode ominous...
Blog Post
December 13, 2022
Earlier this year, the IMF board approved the establishment of the Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) to provide financial support to countries addressing long-term structural challenges, including climate change and pandemic preparedness. 143 countries are eligible to receive support from th...
Blog Post
November 21, 2022
As the world faces multiple crises and the economic and health scars left by the pandemic are still evident, it is clear that governments are unlikely to sustain pandemic-era health spending increases in this recovery phase. How can LMICs align their plans and discourse around universal health cover...
WORKING PAPERS
October 31, 2022
We construct a novel database covering more than 450 fiscal consolidation episodes in 185 countries during the period 1979-2019. Using discrete choice models, we then examine the (broader macroeconomic and political) factors motivating these fiscal consolidation episodes.