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Blog Post
April 25, 2023
This month, Ghana and Nigeria became the first two countries to approve the use of R21, a vaccine that may have game-changing effectiveness in protecting people from malaria. The emergence of effective vaccines promises a new golden age of success in the fight against malaria, just as such efforts h...
Blog Post
April 24, 2023
That said, there are reasons to doubt that a declining working age population would have a long-term effect on prices. They are based on an argument that economists have long made when it comes to migration into economies where the domestic labor force was still expanding, termed the “lump of labor ...
Blog Post
April 11, 2023
In this blog, we make the case that WHO should shift away from disease siloes and reorganize to streamline the cross-cutting functions that it delivers to member countries. The WHO has an opportunity to streamline its functions along the continuum of science practice—from registering clinical trials...
Blog Post
April 10, 2023
The world has never been more educated, our populations more connected. Technological advance in areas from solar and fusion power through batteries to satellites and cancer vaccines will help deliver sustained development. Ending extreme ($2.15 a day) poverty, while long overdue, is on a trajectory...
Blog Post
March 10, 2023
Improvements in priority setting can help India ensure that limited budgets have the maximum health impact. India has taken major strides towards improving EIPS, with HTAIn a successful component that has already demonstrated a good ROI. But the system has not yet reached its full potential.
Blog Post
March 06, 2023
I'm not a huge fan of arbitrary lines through country income levels to create income thresholds. That is because there is no obvious clustering of countries within the global (country-level) income distribution, and moving from one income status to another does not correlate with trend breaks or end...
Blog Post
March 06, 2023
In a new paper, Zack Gehan and I present scenarios for the global economy in 2050. These scenarios build on a forecast of economic growth built around income, population, education, and temperature. The process suggests a considerable degree of uncertainty about how the world will look in three de...
Blog Post
March 06, 2023
The Sustainable Development Goals commit the world to ending extreme poverty by 2030. More cautiously, the World Bank’s twin goals suggest it can help reduce extreme poverty to 3 percent by 2030. Neither goal can be accomplished unless the extreme poverty line is (finally) fixed rather than constant...
Blog Post
March 06, 2023
Forecasts of the future shape of the global economy, if they are at least somewhat accurate, can help planning and policy discussions in areas from global governance through business expansion plans. At the same time, this relies on forecasts in fact being somewhat accurate, and it’s a cliché that p...