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Blog Post
June 22, 2020
A simple way to guarantee an adequate flow of long-run, sustained funding for health surveillance and disease control, and to prepare for the next novel virus in the world’s poor countries, is to create an endowment dedicated to that purpose. A $10 billion endowment could generate income of $500 mil...
Blog Post
June 16, 2020
Because of the uncertainties that complicate modelling, there is value in different research groups working independently to build models. Different models will employ different methods, data, and assumptions and will seek to answer different policy questions. Here we take a look from an end-user’s ...
Blog Post
June 08, 2020
There are two ways to look at progress in the developing world context. I think the right way to look at it is that there has been tremendous success. The downside is that, as we see with the threat of COVID as well as the risk of more natural disasters because of climate change, that they and the e...
Blog Post
June 04, 2020
As we head into June, reports have continued to emerge that highlight the magnitude of the indirect effects the COVID-19 pandemic is having on health systems around the world. The pandemic has created additional barriers for patients accessing essential care, whether it be restrictions on...
Blog Post
June 02, 2020
In stressing the high numbers of additional people who are dying as an indirect result of COVID-19 measures, we may have given the impression that we believe that there would be no additional non-COVID-19 deaths in an unmitigated scenario. We don’t believe that. We aimed to illustrate how the calcul...
Blog Post
May 27, 2020
Before COVID-19, the 2014-2015 West African Ebola epidemic (EVD epidemic), was one of the most heavily modelled outbreaks in history. Within the first two months of the COVID-19 pandemic, 31 mathematical models were developed. Despite the clear differences in the two outbreaks, the EVD epidemic can ...