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CGD Policy Blogs

 

A bar chart comparing cases over a similar timeframe from the four models, with ICL and the SA consortium much higher than the other two

What Can Policymakers Learn about COVID-19 from Looking at Different Model Estimates?

Because of the uncertainties that complicate modelling, there is value in different research groups working independently to build models. Different models will employ different methods, data, and assumptions and will seek to answer different policy questions. Here we take a look from an end-user’s perspective at what models can tell us, by looking for one example country, the Republic of South Africa.