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Jan
17
2024
VIRTUAL
2:00—3:00 PM ET / 7:00-8:00 PM GMT
December 18, 2023
To navigate this unsettled, difficult period, how can policymakers need to make their economies more resilient to shocks while implementing comprehensive structural reforms to boost long-term growth prospects? And can the global economy finally move past these overlapping crises to turn a corner? Jo...
Blog Post
October 05, 2023
A year ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that an alarming 60 percent of developing countries and 25 percent of emerging market economies were either in debt distress or at severe risk of default. The confluence of severe shocks in the period 2020-22, starting with the COVID-19 pan...
WORKING PAPERS
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
CGD NOTES
March 16, 2023
The the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, bank regulators and supervisors in emerging markets should be looking closely at their own banking systems with lessons from Silicon Valley in mind. For most emerging markets, where previous banking crises were devastating and turned back the clock o...
Jan
11
2023
2:00—3:00 PM Eastern Time | 7:00 - 8:00pm GMT
December 21, 2022
The world economy has been suffering a series of destabilizing shocks. Consensus forecasts for global growth in 2023 have been downgraded significantly over the past six months. Although these forecasts do not point to a global recession for now, the steep slowdown heightens the likelihood of a glob...
Sep
14
2021
2:00—3:00 PM Washington DC Time
July 28, 2021
Extreme episodes of capital flow volatility have long been a concern for policymakers in Latin America because of the threat that they pose to macroeconomic and financial stability. In the decade following the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09, capital flows seemed to move more in ripples than in wa...
Jan
14
2021
2:00—3:15 PM ET
January 05, 2021
Although the global economy is emerging from the collapse triggered by COVID-19, the recovery is likely to be subdued, and global output is projected to remain well below its pre-pandemic trend for a prolonged period. Several risks cloud the outlook, including those related to the pandemic and to ra...
Jul
22
2020
11:30—12:30 PM ET
July 16, 2020
According to IMF and World Bank forecasts, Latin America will be the most affected region by the COVID-19 crisis in terms of economic growth. Varying degrees of lockdowns and the shock to trade, commodity, prices, tourism, and remittances from the pandemic – exacerbated by already weak health system...