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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
October 30, 2023
Our new paper forecasts global structural transformation over the next thirty years. It shouldn’t come as a great surprise that it suggests the planetary shift toward services employment and out of both agriculture and manufacturing will continue. But it does suggest something many find might novel ...
Apr
14
2023
11:00—12:00 PM ET / 4:00-5:00 PM BST / In-person and Online
March 22, 2023
Minister Indrawati and President Jin know both sides of the MDB-MIC relationship better than most, and both are now on the front lines of the critical effort to unlock financing for climate change mitigation. The government of Indonesia and the AIIB are each on the vanguard of a client-driven approa...
Blog Post
November 04, 2022
The UK currently has a shortage of nearly 47,000 nurses in the NHS; a Global Skill Partnership could help solve NHS staff shortages. The UK will gain much-needed skilled nurses at a cheaper cost than if they had been trained in the US, while the sending country benefits from nurse training that cove...
Oct
11
2022
9:30—10:45 AM Eastern Time (US & Canada)/ 2:30-3:45pm British Summer Time/ 7:30- 8:45pm Pakistan Standard Time
September 29, 2022
On top of struggling to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, Pakistan is challenged by high inflation, debt sustainability, and reliance on external financing as well as devastating floods which will have substantial and lasting economic consequences. After Sri Lanka's default crisis, will the troubl...