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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
December 18, 2023
The Lancet Investing in Health Commission, led by Larry Summers and Dean Jamison in 2013, envisioned a grand convergence in key health indicators by 2035 between low-income and low-middle-income countries and the best-performing middle-income countries. Given significant global changes since the rep...
Blog Post
October 30, 2023
Realizing the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and tackling the climate crisis in developing nations demands substantial investments. A recent report commissioned by the G20 estimated that for developing countries (encompassing low-income, lower-middle-income, and upper-middle-income nations), a...
Blog Post
August 30, 2023
Developing Asia as a region has experienced rapid growth over the past three decades. What have these episodes of sustained growth meant for income inequality? Has the region had “inclusive growth,” meaning growth which saw incomes rise without inequality increasing, or has inequality gotten worse? ...