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CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
February 08, 2024
With several replenishment campaigns set for 2024-2025, a fundraising pileup is on the horizon. Close to a dozen major development funds—including the World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA), thematic funds like Gavi, and new entities like the Loss and Damage Fund—could aim to raise...
Blog Post
February 01, 2024
As the urgency and scale of development and climate challenges become more obvious and alarming, we have seen a surge in interest in how multilateral development banks (MDBs) can help low- and middle-income countries meet these challenges. Much of that focus has been on the volume of their finance, ...
Blog Post
October 26, 2023
Call it a sign of the times: negotiations around the creation of a new Loss and Damage Fund for climate are breaking down, with developing nations and advanced economies at a familiar impasse. The Loss and Damage Fund—a fund meant to compensate vulnerable countries for climate impacts—is supposed to...