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Press Release
March 07, 2023
Though there is considerable uncertainty about the shape of the world economy, the likely future appears to be one of a richer planet with more resources to respond to challenges like pandemics and climate shocks, and containing fewer people living in absolute poverty than ever in history, according...
Blog Post
March 06, 2023
In a new paper, Zack Gehan and I present scenarios for the global economy in 2050. These scenarios build on a forecast of economic growth built around income, population, education, and temperature. The process suggests a considerable degree of uncertainty about how the world will look in three de...
WORKING PAPERS
March 06, 2023
We develop scenarios for the shape of the global economy in 2050 building on a simple regression of the historic relationship between current income and lagged income, demographic features, climate, and education, using the coefficients to develop a “central” forecast and error terms to set high and...
Blog Post
February 28, 2023
Sri Lanka's default on its debt in 2022 caused alarm among investors and development economists alike, and raised questions about the factors underlying the country's economic downfall. In this blog, we examine the reasons for Sri Lanka's default and the challenges that lie ahead.
POLICY PAPERS
February 27, 2023
Health aid has helped domestic financing achieve historic gains in global health but there is much still to be done. Six major issues prevent aid from being more effective, fit for the future, and aligned with country priorities: funding volatility, aid fragmentation, the displacement of domestic fi...
Blog Post
February 22, 2023
When Nigerian voters head to the polls on Saturday to elect the country’s next president, all of Africa—and beyond—will be watching. CGD's Gyude Moore sits down with Amaka Anku, head of the Eurasia Group's Africa practice, to discuss the advantages and challenges of the leading candidates, the role ...
CGD NOTES
February 22, 2023
This note looks at the development finance provided to multilateral institutions by a group of 13 major economies that have become significant international actors over the past decade. This group—which includes the five BRICS countries—are outside of the mainly Western, high-income countries that a...
Blog Post
February 22, 2023
Whilst the war instigated by Russia, and rising competitions with China, could suggest a return to a cold-war-esque bipolar world, the spread of economic growth and prosperity mean the economic and financial influence is much-wider spread. The “emerging” economies are significantly stepping up thei...
Press Release
February 22, 2023
A new study examining the impact of 13 rising economies including China, Brazil and India on global development has found that their contributions to multilateral institutions like the World Bank and the UN have increased five-fold over a decade, totalling around $6 billion in 2019, compared to just...