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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 21, 2024
Many developing countries are facing an impossible situation. With the impact of cascading crises, the gulf between their financing needs and the resources available to them is widening. The combination of elevated interest rates, weakening currencies and low credit ratings are excluding them from c...
POLICY PAPERS
March 21, 2024
Already constrained by the economic aftershocks of COVID-19, the impact of the war in Ukraine, and the food and climate crisis, low-income countries and lower-middle-income countries now face a combination of soaring debt and high interest rates. Confronted with insufficient liquidity to respond to ...
Blog Post
November 15, 2023
On 1st October, the EU soft launched its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which aims to help avoid “carbon leakage”, where companies move their production to country with less stringent climate policies. Reporting requirements will start from 2024 and full charges will come into effect in ...
Blog Post
November 02, 2023
Geopolitical risks are rapidly converging, making the world more crisis-prone and precarious. Faced with a near economic collapse in some low and lower middle-income countries, the escalating devastation of climate-related disasters aggravating existing vulnerabilities, and a sharp rise in conflicts...