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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 21, 2024
Many developing countries are facing an impossible situation. With the impact of cascading crises, the gulf between their financing needs and the resources available to them is widening. The combination of elevated interest rates, weakening currencies and low credit ratings are excluding them from c...
POLICY PAPERS
March 21, 2024
Already constrained by the economic aftershocks of COVID-19, the impact of the war in Ukraine, and the food and climate crisis, low-income countries and lower-middle-income countries now face a combination of soaring debt and high interest rates. Confronted with insufficient liquidity to respond to ...
Blog Post
November 15, 2023
On 1st October, the EU soft launched its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which aims to help avoid “carbon leakage”, where companies move their production to country with less stringent climate policies. Reporting requirements will start from 2024 and full charges will come into effect in ...
Blog Post
September 05, 2023
EU finance ministers will soon appoint a new president of the European Investment Bank (EIB). Following two six-year terms, the incumbent, Werner Hoyer, will step down, and a new captain will take the helm of the world’s largest multilateral financial institution. The new president comes at a critic...
Blog Post
June 30, 2023
The European Union (EU)’s arsenal of development finance instruments comprises grants, budget support, blends of grants and loans, guarantees, and trust funds. But little attention has been paid to its macro-financial assistance (MFA) tool. Since the 1990s, it has been deployed to help countries in ...