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CGD NOTES
June 06, 2024
Most foreign aid comes in one of two forms: either we pay a person or an institution today in exchange for delivering some beneficial activity in the future, or we observe something bad happen to them and then give them support to recover from it. In this note, I identify a broad family of alternati...
Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Amidst stagnating levels of development assistance for health, questions about the future of vertical programs such as PEPFAR, lackluster performance on the Sustainable Development Goal for health, and growing calls to address excessive fragmentation in global health, the global health community is ...
Blog Post
May 03, 2024
Global health is fundamentally undermined by power imbalances. Those who have the least access to health care, generally, have the least power to influence global health. This blog looks at one imbalance—the concentration of power in the hands of global health donors, in relation to governments and ...
Blog Post
May 01, 2024
At the core of African food insecurity are the continent’s notoriously low crop yields—the amount of produce farmers harvest relative to the area of land they farm. And one of the main reasons for low yield compared to other regions is that African countries, on average, use far less fertilizer to b...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...