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WORKING PAPERS
April 02, 2024
Starting in 2001, duty-free access to U.S. markets under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) led to a brief boom in African manufacturing exports, particularly apparel, which then fizzled in the face of unfettered Chinese competition after 2005. The looming expiration of AGOA—and eroding C...
Blog Post
April 02, 2024
“Trade not aid” is a slogan that appeals to certain instincts on both the left and right. The idea being that rich countries can do more for economic development in poor countries by granting them market access than by sending charity. But will market access really stimulate economic growth in laggi...
Blog Post
January 20, 2022
In the wake of the COVID-19 crisis, many sub-Saharan African countries will face serious economic crises and shrinking public spending. If countries are unable to spend more, they need to spend better. Europe has leading expertise in building institutions for priority-setting in health, making it an...
WORKING PAPERS
July 20, 2021
India lacks an authoritative estimate of the death toll from the COVID-19 pandemic. We report excess mortality estimates from three different data sources from the pandemic’s start through June 2021. Estimating COVID-deaths with statistical confidence may prove elusive. But all estimates suggest tha...
Blog Post
July 20, 2021
The official Covid death count in India as of end-June 2021 is 400,000. The reality is, of course, catastrophically worse. Unlike in other countries, authoritative excess death estimates based on official data have not been available because government recording of deaths, especially at the center, ...
POLICY PAPERS
July 01, 2020
Substantial evidence has emerged relating to the potential magnitude of the indirect health effects of the coronavirus pandemic.This paper provides an overview of the lessons learned from previous outbreaks and economic crises in relation to indirect health effects as well as a framework for adoptin...
Blog Post
June 03, 2020
An estimated $15.9 trillion has been mobilised to respond to the health and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Some of this has gone to multilateral and bilateral funders to support low- and middle-income countries’ (LMIC) governments. But how is this money being spent, and how is it impactin...
Blog Post
April 24, 2020
Last week, the president of Malawi announced the country would impose a strict 21-day lockdown starting on April 18 to stem the spread of coronavirus. We outline the main aspects of Malawi’s proposed lockdown policy, and examine the extent to which a country such as Malawi is prepared and able...