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Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
May
30
2024
VIRTUAL
10:00—11:00 AM ET
May 28, 2024
Refugees are often disproportionately exposed to climate shocks. They also often endure reduced rights, and may have fewer resources with which to adapt. Despite this, little research has been conducted into the effects of the climate emergency on refugees, limitations to their adaptive capacity, an...
Blog Post
May 15, 2024
On Friday, May 10, 2024, the IMF Executive Board approved the recycling of special drawing rights (SDRs) to multilateral development banks (MDBs) for use as hybrid capital. It took a long time to get to this point, and the IMF should be congratulated for overcoming strong opposition, even from some ...
Blog Post
May 10, 2024
Here is a Mother’s Day shout-out to all the mothers working at international financial institutions (IFIs) around the world, and especially to mothers at the two banks I know best: the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank, where I worked for a total of almost two decades with at least ...
Blog Post
May 09, 2024
Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are increasingly supporting their beneficiary member countries to improve outcomes for economic migrants and refugees. Every year, they provide billions of dollars in grants and loans, as well as technical assistance, policy dialogue, and knowledge exchanges. A ...
POLICY PAPERS
May 09, 2024
Economic migrants and refugees can bring both benefits and costs to their hosting countries. If well-integrated, they can support themselves, their families, and their hosting countries as producers and consumers. Both economic migration and forced displacement are therefore integrally linked with d...
May
9
2024
VIRTUAL
9:00—10:00 AM ET / 2:00-3:00 PM BST
April 30, 2024
What are useful ways to think about AI’s impact on jobs across and within countries? How should developing countries craft policies and promote worker skills, digital infrastructure, and regulation to realize AI’s potential and minimize its risks? How well prepared are developing countries to do thi...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...