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CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 10, 2024
The UK Government has committed to producing a strategy on how the UK will support local leadership on development, climate, nature and humanitarian action; and its Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office has endorsed a Donor Statement on Supporting Locally Led Development. Lisa Nandy, Labour’s...
Blog Post
March 14, 2024
Since the absorption of the Department for International Development (DFID) into the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, there has been a clear pattern in the fortunes of the development function of the department, every decision taken made the UK’s development function worse: less impactful, less effi...
Blog Post
February 27, 2024
In the UK context the main discussion of UK development policy amid all of these headwinds has been around the current government’s new ‘white paper’, which seeks to set UK development policy to 2030 and tried to be cross-party. That said, it could have a very short shelf life as presumably any inco...
Blog Post
February 19, 2024
One of the few silver linings from Brexit for the UK has been the increase in non-EU migration. But this has led to renewed concerns about a “brain drain”, the notion that the exodus of skilled workers from poorer countries will leave them unable to meet their own development goals. Yet these concer...