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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 25, 2024
A new institutional strategy for the years 2024–2030 was just approved by the Board of Governors at the annual meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). This comes one year after Ilan Goldfajn assumed the presidency of the organization with a commitment to establish clear priorities and ...
Blog Post
March 05, 2024
Brazil kicked off the Finance Track of its term as G20 president on February 28-29 with a clarion call for progressive international economic action. Despite some of the familiar G20 dysfunction, the Brazilian G20 gives me a shred of hope. The Brazilians put forward some big ideas.
WORKING PAPERS
February 23, 2024
As the politics of polarization gain traction and electoral support, a new vintage of populism is emerging in Latin America. This new version shares some aspects with the type of cultural populism now common in advanced economies that divides societies into antagonistic camps. But there are also imp...