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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 10, 2024
The UK Government has committed to producing a strategy on how the UK will support local leadership on development, climate, nature and humanitarian action; and its Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office has endorsed a Donor Statement on Supporting Locally Led Development. Lisa Nandy, Labour’s...
Blog Post
March 05, 2024
Brazil kicked off the Finance Track of its term as G20 president on February 28-29 with a clarion call for progressive international economic action. Despite some of the familiar G20 dysfunction, the Brazilian G20 gives me a shred of hope. The Brazilians put forward some big ideas.
Blog Post
November 22, 2023
Under the Indian Presidency, the G20 tasked N.K. Singh and Larry Summers to convene an independent expert group (IEG) to recommend how to strengthen multilateral development banks and address the shared global challenges of the 21st century (disclosure: we were both part of the Secretariat supportin...
Blog Post
October 16, 2023
The real test after the meetings will be how to identify sources of concessional financing for middle-income countries while still delivering on IDA. Donors have leaned heavily on capital adequacy reforms and private sector mobilization as sources of finance, but there is no escaping the fact that t...
CGD NOTES
October 13, 2023
A world on fire requires the multilateral development banks to be at center stage in creating an effective response and bringing diverse actors to support a shared agenda of transformative development. MDBs have a distinctive comparative advantage in playing a catalytic role in fostering government ...
Blog Post
September 19, 2023
Health systems in Africa are under considerable strain: rapid demographic change, rising non-communicable diseases, and emerging and re-emerging threats such as COVID-19 and Ebola are increasing demands on limited health services. The African Union’s admission to the G20 provides an opportunity for ...