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CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
Blog Post
May 01, 2024
At the core of African food insecurity are the continent’s notoriously low crop yields—the amount of produce farmers harvest relative to the area of land they farm. And one of the main reasons for low yield compared to other regions is that African countries, on average, use far less fertilizer to b...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 14, 2024
Since its inception, DFC has demonstrated its capacity to rapidly increase its investment volume, making use of a higher portfolio cap. Its annual commitments have doubled over the past four years. But the agency has been subject to criticism (including from some at CGD) for insufficiently prioritiz...
Blog Post
November 30, 2023
The latest climate COP, or “Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,” got underway today in Dubai. It will be attended by thousands of delegates from governments, the private sector, media, and civil society, with two hectic weeks of events and negotiat...