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Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
Blog Post
May 17, 2024
At a time when global challenges appear daunting and geopolitical rivalries are rising, it is useful to remind ourselves that the past 75 years have seen more improvement in the human condition than ever before. Fifty years ago, half the world lived in extreme poverty, today it is less than one in 1...
CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 09, 2024
Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are increasingly supporting their beneficiary member countries to improve outcomes for economic migrants and refugees. Every year, they provide billions of dollars in grants and loans, as well as technical assistance, policy dialogue, and knowledge exchanges. A ...
POLICY PAPERS
May 09, 2024
Economic migrants and refugees can bring both benefits and costs to their hosting countries. If well-integrated, they can support themselves, their families, and their hosting countries as producers and consumers. Both economic migration and forced displacement are therefore integrally linked with d...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 02, 2024
Yesterday, the World Health Organization (WHO) published new guidance aiming to support government officials as they negotiate and implement international agreements on health worker mobility. In an era characterized as a “global scramble” for health workers, what does this guidance say and how can ...