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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
WORKING PAPERS
April 15, 2024
Adaptation is not a universal response to climate shocks, and while a lot of studies are geared towards building adaptive capacity of households, particularly in developing country settings, more recognition should be given to cultural and religious factors that may significantly mitigate responses.
POLICY PAPERS
April 15, 2024
Many low- and middle-income countries are projected to spend less on health over the rest of this decade than they did pre-2020. The adage “more health for the money” is more meaningful than ever—but how do we act on it quickly? Disinvesting from low-value health technologies and interventions is on...
Blog Post
March 12, 2024
When it comes to disaster- and climate-related displacement, the Asia-Pacific is ground zero. More than three-quarters of internal disaster displacements occur in the region, with over 225 million displacements between 2010 and 2021. This is set to increase. The number of internally displaced people...
Blog Post
February 26, 2024
As most of the developing world struggles to increase, let alone maintain current levels of domestic health expenditure, getting more health for the money has never been more important. Building robust health technology assessment (HTA) systems to inform governments on which health technologies and ...
Blog Post
February 22, 2024
Is there a relationship between climate change and conflict? Gyude speaks to Dr. Edward (Ted) Miguel of University of California Berkley about the impact of rising temperatures, extreme droughts, and floods on competition for resources, and how governments can respond to climate change’s compounding...
Blog Post
February 20, 2024
There is some good news on global climate change. The International Energy Agency suggests we are “at the beginning of the end” of the fossil fuel era, with ‘peak fossil’ likely this decade. And the consensus amongst climate modelers appears to be that the worse scenarios historically used by the IP...
WORKING PAPERS
February 20, 2024
This paper provides a discussion of future trends as established in the literature on the interaction between socioeconomic indicators and projected future climate change scenarios. It enhances our understanding of future predicted patterns of climate change effects in the coming decades and the nee...