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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
POLICY PAPERS
April 08, 2024
The global locus of undervaccination is increasingly shifting from the poorest countries in the world—which are eligible for support from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance—to middle-income countries (MICs) that do not qualify for traditional Gavi support. Given these growing challenges, Gavi must rethink i...
CGD NOTES
April 08, 2024
This CGD Note outlines a proposal for a New Compact between Gavi and partner countries. We outline a package of policy shifts for Gavi to consider, in line with the core approach of prioritising country ownership and financing of the highest priority vaccines while health aid is provided at the marg...
Blog Post
April 08, 2024
When Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, was founded in 2001, it logically targeted its support to the poorest countries—with GNI per capita under a pre-defined eligibility threshold—that also had the highest shares of the world’s undervaccinated children. Fast-forward almost 25 years, and the situation has...
Blog Post
April 08, 2024
Gavi is facing several important milestones in 2024: developing its next five-year strategy, known as “Gavi 6.0,” gearing up for its upcoming replenishment, and welcoming its new CEO. This year presents an opportunity for Gavi’s board and leadership to revisit its approach to ensure continued impact...
CGD NOTES
March 28, 2024
Over the past two decades, China has become a distinctive and increasingly important donor of development assistance for health (DAH). However, little is known about what factors influence China’s priority-setting for DAH. In this study, we provide an updated analysis of trends in the priorities of ...
Blog Post
March 26, 2024
When we launched Pandemic Proof, many countries were still in the throes of the health and economic shocks of COVID-19. Lessons learned from the pandemic were still fresh. And the visibility and urgency of the pandemic catalyzed some important policy action, including the establishment of innovative...