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Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
Blog Post
May 17, 2024
At a time when global challenges appear daunting and geopolitical rivalries are rising, it is useful to remind ourselves that the past 75 years have seen more improvement in the human condition than ever before. Fifty years ago, half the world lived in extreme poverty, today it is less than one in 1...
Blog Post
May 16, 2024
Development cooperation has reached a crossroads. Humanitarian needs are rapidly increasing as violent conflicts erupt and continue, and geopolitical rivalry is contributing to a more fragmented development landscape. Difficult economic conditions in many of the poorest countries are paired with shr...
Blog Post
May 01, 2024
At the core of African food insecurity are the continent’s notoriously low crop yields—the amount of produce farmers harvest relative to the area of land they farm. And one of the main reasons for low yield compared to other regions is that African countries, on average, use far less fertilizer to b...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 09, 2024
It's spring in DC, which means it's time once again for the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings. Finance ministers, central bank governors, and other top officials from around the world gather to discuss the state of the world economy and the international financial architecture, and CGD's researchers ar...