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Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
Blog Post
May 31, 2024
The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) is up for renewal this year. AGOA is a cornerstone of US-Africa economic relations, and has enjoyed bipartisan support for nearly a quarter century. But it's showing its age. A lot has changed since Bill Clinton signed the bill back in 2000—not least, th...
Blog Post
May 23, 2024
Dr. Stephanie Psaki, US Global Health Security Coordinator, joins host Javier Guzman to discuss the changes made across the US government since the pandemic, her priorities as Coordinator, and US ambitions for the pandemic agreement negotiations in the run-up to the World Health Assembly later this ...
Blog Post
May 21, 2024
This week, Kenyan President William Ruto will be the first African leader to receive an official state visit since President George W. Bush invited Ghanaian President John Kufuor in 2008. President Ruto is traveling to Washington to mark the 60th anniversary of US-Kenyan diplomatic relations. But un...
Blog Post
May 10, 2024
While there was no great fanfare coming out of the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings, a closer look at the official statements reveals simmering tensions between major constituencies over the execution of the World Bank’s new “Livable Planet” agenda. These tensions were fueled by debates over the alloc...
Blog Post
May 06, 2024
MEL practitioners—and knowledge producers more generally—should adopt an approach that is attuned to a realistic model of the stages of the policy process and be ready to seize windows of opportunity to apply evidence. This may require navigating competing demands, recognizing tradeoffs, and making ...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...