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CGD Policy Blogs


How Plausible Are the Predictions of AIDS Models?

UNAIDS, WHO, PEPFAR and the Global Fund for AIDS TB and Malaria (GFATM) all depend on long-run projections in order to make the case for increased attention and financing for AIDS.  This dependency is a response to the reality that HIV is a slow epidemic with extraordinary “momentum”.  Even small changes in the course of new infections require years to implement and have health and fiscal consequences for decades thereafter.  According to the UNAIDS web site, “[s]ince 2001, the UNAIDS Secretariat have le

The IMF and the Swine Flu? WHO's on First!

This is a joint post with David Goldsbrough.

As the possibility of a one trillion dollar supplement in IMF funding comes closer to fruition in the midst of alerts about the possibility of a new pandemic of influenza, some of us at CGD have been asked about the possibility of connections between IMF adjustment programs and health. Some of the questions are a bit loopy, like: Did the IMF cause the current flu epidemic? And even weirder: should the IMF prevent future flu epidemics?

In the Halls of CGD, on the WHO…

A joint posting by members of the CGD health team (April Harding, Mead Over, Rachel Nugent, Andrea Feigl, and Danielle Kuczynski)

Scene 1.

Thursday was a typical morning at CGD: birds chirping, sun shining, the health team arrives at their computers and sits down with a hot cup of coffee to tackle the challenges of the day- only to find that April Harding has circulated an article by Anne Applebaum (AA), on why the World Health Organization (WHO) should focus on infectious diseases, which April called “A really nice piece on why we should care about (and fix) the WHO”.

Email frenzy ensues.