Ideas to Action:

Independent research for global prosperity

CGD Policy Blogs

 

A bar chart comparing cases over a similar timeframe from the four models, with ICL and the SA consortium much higher than the other two

What Can Policymakers Learn about COVID-19 from Looking at Different Model Estimates?

Because of the uncertainties that complicate modelling, there is value in different research groups working independently to build models. Different models will employ different methods, data, and assumptions and will seek to answer different policy questions. Here we take a look from an end-user’s perspective at what models can tell us, by looking for one example country, the Republic of South Africa.

Five Findings from a New Phone Survey in Senegal

Better data can help us have a better response for COVID, so we piloted a mobile phone survey on 1,000+ respondents in Senegal in partnership with the Centre de Recherche pour le Développement Économique et Social. We published the results of the survey yesterday and we are now publishing some of the key findings.

A chart showing that commodity prices fell rapidly during the Ebola outbreak

An Epidemic and a Commodity Price Rout at the Same Time? It Happened in 2014

The COVID-19 health crisis has been paired with sharply lower global demand and a Saudi-Russian price war in the oil market that has reduced commodity prices by around a third. While this seems unprecedented, a concurrent economy-halting epidemic and commodity price rout has happened before, in Liberia, West Africa during the Ebola outbreak of 2014.