Ideas to Action:

Independent research for global prosperity

CGD Policy Blogs

 

A close-up of some pills

Healthcare Technologies and COVID-19: Speed is Not Always a Good Thing

With a focus on tests, treatments, and a vaccine, we take a look at the emerging global clinical and economic evidence-base underpinning some of these technologies, the mechanisms (mostly global) for financing these commodities, and, finally, the decision-making processes for selecting technologies. This includes identifying the right subpopulations and negotiating a cost-effective tiered price across countries and regions.

A bar chart comparing cases over a similar timeframe from the four models, with ICL and the SA consortium much higher than the other two

What Can Policymakers Learn about COVID-19 from Looking at Different Model Estimates?

Because of the uncertainties that complicate modelling, there is value in different research groups working independently to build models. Different models will employ different methods, data, and assumptions and will seek to answer different policy questions. Here we take a look from an end-user’s perspective at what models can tell us, by looking for one example country, the Republic of South Africa.

An image of someone receiving a malaria test

The Indirect Health Effects of COVID-19: Lockdown Measures and Service Provision

As we head into June, reports have continued to emerge that highlight the magnitude of the indirect effects the COVID-19 pandemic is having on  health systems around the world. The pandemic has created additional barriers for patients accessing essential care, whether it be restrictions on movement, transportation restrictions, stigma, impoverishment from loss of livelihoods, or avoidance of care due to concerns over contracting the virus.

Lab technicians analyze blood samples at Hospital do Subúrbio (Suburban Hospital), Brazil's first hospital under a public-private partnership model, in a low-income area of Salvador, Bahia. Photo: Mariana Ceratti / World Bank

Applying Caution with Unmitigated Scenarios: A Closer Look at Non-COVID-19 Deaths

In stressing the high numbers of additional people who are dying as an indirect result of COVID-19 measures, we may have given the impression that we believe that there would be no additional non-COVID-19 deaths in an unmitigated scenario. We don’t believe that. We aimed to illustrate how the calculator works, and to demonstrate how users can adapt it to their own setting. The key to the tool is that each user is able to adapt it for their own setting.