As the COVID-19 pandemic is evolving, a growing number of countries are making use of information derived from epidemiological mathematical models in policy and public communication.
CGD Policy Blogs
Before COVID-19, the 2014-2015 West African Ebola epidemic (EVD epidemic), was one of the most heavily modelled outbreaks in history. Within the first two months of the COVID-19 pandemic, 31 mathematical models were developed. Despite the clear differences in the two outbreaks, the EVD epidemic can help us draw lessons to improve COVID-19 modelling and its reach in policymaking. We discuss some of those learnings in this piece
The Race for a COVID-19 Vaccine: An Overview of Current Proposals and Our Contribution in Bringing in the Missing Middle
Much rests with the successful development and introduction of an effective COVID-19 vaccine. It may be our only path towards fully reopening our economies without fear of future outbreaks and associated health and economic impacts. See here for an overview of recent vaccine initiatives.
This is the first in a series of blogs in which we’ll focus on non-COVID-19 excess deaths caused by the response to COVID-19, part of a larger project at CGD to help policymakers minimize the indirect health impacts of the pandemic.
The full impacts of COVID-19 and the restrictions adopted to mitigate the pandemic are yet to be fully revealed. We do not know the number of deaths indirectly related to the novel coronavirus around the world, and how these may differ from country to country. We are launching an inventory to track the evolving situation.
Every country faces the same fundamental challenge in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. Their economies and societies cannot fully return to “normal” until we have a safe and effective vaccine. And achieving that goal quickly is not easy. We see four big problems.
As low- and middle-income countries are hit by the health and economic effects of COVID-19, the international community is working to mobilize billions of dollars in grants, loans, and debt relief. At the moment, it is difficult to get a full picture of the funding on offer, to whom it is given, and how it will be used.