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CGD Policy Blogs

 

PEPFAR Teams Are Designing Impact Evaluations: Retrospective, Prospective, and Randomized

Last year, PEPFAR submitted guidelines which encouraged country staff to submit a proposal to conduct an “impact evaluation” (IE) as part of their annual Country Operation Plan (COP).  Subsequently, they received four submissions, of which three were funded.  But they also learned that many PEPFAR staff – who are mostly program implementers, or the managers of program implementers – didn’t fully understand what they were being asked to do; what does PEPFAR mean by “impact evaluations”?

Is Latin America Ready for the Return of Normal?

New uncertainties come to the fore now that the global economy, after six years of turmoil, is showing signs of a return to a more normal situation, where real interest rates in the United States turn positive and commodity prices stabilize at a somewhat lower level, due to a cooling of red-hot demand from China. How will Latin America, which has been buoyed by capital inflows seeking higher returns, respond to the return of normal?  Will the economic and social progress observed during the past two decades hold?