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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 11, 2024
Last month, Open Philanthropy published a list of open research questions they would like answers to. It’s a fascinating list, and in keeping with their mission, focuses on some potentially high-impact and neglected problems where more evidence could make a big difference to improve social and econo...
Blog Post
October 23, 2023
In times of mounting debt, the quest for universal health coverage (UHC) faces critical challenges. Rising debt has far-reaching effects, including reduced access to financing, political instability, and decreased spending on international aid. The burden of debt, coupled with high inflation, is thr...
Blog Post
August 07, 2023
While donors are increasingly interested in both promoting evidence-based policymaking and advancing locally led development, the two agendas have often remained separate. This is a missed opportunity. A recent CGD working group underscored the value of locally immersed researchers and organizations...
POLICY PAPERS
August 07, 2023
CGD conducted a landscaping exercise to better understand the current landscape of organizations headquartered in sub-Saharan Africa that boast impact evaluation capacity. The resulting database is intended as a resource for funders looking to advance locally led development; to help facilitate coor...
Blog Post
June 05, 2023
Recent CGD events have shown several bright spots for the evidence-informed policy agenda, demonstrating leadership commitment to evidence generation and use. The new World Bank president, Ajay Banga, called for the institution to deepen its role as a knowledge bank in a recent speech at CGD. Newly ...
CGD NOTES
June 05, 2023
The World Bank’s lending function is important and irreplaceable. But providing countries with an important source of financing and investing in evidence do not have to be in tension. The role of evaluation should shift from an assessment function to one in which evaluation is a central tool of pro...
Blog Post
May 23, 2023
The past year has been challenging and turbulent for many frontier markets in Africa. In 2022, African economies met headwinds of inflation, the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, and sovereign debt challenges. This led to a decrease in demand for African goods and services, as well as reduced inve...
Blog Post
April 24, 2023
That said, there are reasons to doubt that a declining working age population would have a long-term effect on prices. They are based on an argument that economists have long made when it comes to migration into economies where the domestic labor force was still expanding, termed the “lump of labor ...